- PPF Points
- 2,039
Many traders follow the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator alone, as they earn profit. On the other hand, it is not advisable to rely on this indicator excessively because of several reasons. The most promising changes can happen very swiftly. Under these circumstances, there can be no other signal than the MACD. To make it worse, the time when the price formed the cross is much later than when it was achieved initially. The other issue (crossing of the zero line) is that there appears a bit longer time delay before the price reacts. The reason the MACD indicator lags behind is that it turns around the initial cross when it is registered, not later anymore. However, we know this tool does not anticipate a volcano or macroeconomic events that could have otherwise turned the tide. For example, a crossover in MACD might suggest that a new trend is beginning but at the same time, it may not factor in the change in the market price caused by fluctuations in the market's environment due to unpredictable exogenous factors. Similarly, it might have been correct that a trend in the market was continuing or that the stock was moving onward if the MACD was moving upwards. Yet with the volatility indicating that the upside momentum is slowing down, the MACD might exhibit a bearish signal and negate the satisfaction of the trade. Apart from being unable to identify the market's trend direction, this method cannot give the trader the information about the power of the newly formed trend and hence can produce numerous false signals, lose good chances, and trigger many stop-loss orders all of which will cause the trader to incur a big loss.

